Key takeaways:
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Bitcoin investor sentiment hits a 7-month excessive, with a bullish pennant forecasting a rally to $115,000.
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Right now’s CPI print and the possibility for a lower-than-expected PPI on June 12 might drive BTC value greater.
Bitcoin (BTC) value briefly rallied above $110,000 on Wednesday after US Shopper Worth Index (CPI) information got here in cooler than anticipated at 2.4% year-over-year (forecast: 2.5%). Core CPI additionally beat estimates at 2.8% (forecast: 2.9%). The US Greenback Index (DXY) plummeted to 98.5, a multimonth low, with markets swiftly adjusting to the Federal Reserve’s rate of interest expectations.
Nevertheless, the chances of a Federal Reserve rate of interest lower subsequent week stay low as headline CPI is rising once more for the primary time since January 2025.
The general market sentiment round Bitcoin is bullish, and a cooler CPI print might doubtlessly push costs to new highs above $115,000 this week. A value rally would possibly happen on June 12, after the US Producer Worth Index (PPI) information is launched. The US PPI is predicted to rise by 0.2% month-over-month, with the core PPI at 0.3%.
A lower-than-expected print might amplify Bitcoin’s rally by reinforcing dovish Fed expectations over the second half of 2025. A better-than-expected PPI or a shock macroeconomic improvement might result in pullbacks.
Cointelegraph additionally reported that Bitcoin is closing in on a brand new excessive, buoyed by renewed optimism over a US-China commerce deal introduced by US President Donald Trump.
The settlement is predicted to cut back macroeconomic threats that dragged BTC costs to a year-to-date low of $74,500 in April after Trump’s tariff bulletins. This deal, described as “carried out” pending remaining approval, has sparked a risk-on temper, with BTC consolidating beneath $110,000.
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Bitcoin sentiment hits 7-month excessive
In keeping with information analytics platform Santiment, BTC’s bullish sentiment reached a seven-month excessive, as constructive social media feedback, tracked throughout X and Reddit, have doubled unfavourable ones since Trump’s election win in November 2024.
The bullish sentiment can be mirrored in BTC’s low funding charge at an all-time excessive value vary. Crypto Dealer Jacob Canfield acknowledged,
“I actually do not bear in mind a time the place I’ve seen costs going up this a lot and funding charges being fully flat. This normally implies that the underlying rallies are principally spot pushed. Unsure how we will see huge promote offs with out excessive leverage out there. Almost definitely this implies greater.”
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin is forming a bullish pennant on the 1-hour chart, signaling potential bullish continuation. The relative energy index (RSI) is resetting close to the 50 degree, indicating a wholesome cooldown inside a better consolidation vary. Instant resistance lies at $110,000, however a liquidity sweep round $108,000 might happen first, clearing late lengthy orders and absorbing sell-side liquidity to gas additional upside.
The pennant’s measured transfer tasks a bullish goal of $115,000, aligning with the higher trendline extension. Extra value assist lies at $106,748, with a break under risking a drop to $104,900. A swift restoration from this drop might improve BTC’s upside potential, however BTC should preserve a bullish shut on the upper time chart.
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This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call.